H28年拠点間連携共同研究シンポジウム 「巨大地震のリスク評価の精度向上に関する新パラダイムの構築」

  • シンポジウム
開催期間 2016.03.25  9:30 ~ 18:00
場所 宇治おうばくプラザ きはだホール

H28年拠点間連携共同研「巨大地震のリスク評価の精度向上に関する新パラダイムの構築」
Symposium of the “Cooperative Research by Liaison between Hub Institutes”, 2016
“Construction of a New Paradigm for Improving Uncertainty of Risk Evaluation for Large Magnitude Earthquakes”

プログラム

平成28年3月25日(金) 9:30-18:00

京都大学宇治キャンパス 宇治おうばくプラザ きはだホール

 

 

9:30

1 Opening address (5 min.)

2 Background and Purpose of the project “Cooperative Research by Liaison between Hub institutes” (15 min.)

 

9:50

3 Progress report (2 hours in total)

3.1 Source model     Masatoshi Miyazawa (DPRI)

3.2 Propagation path and deep structure         Kimihiro Mochizuki (ERI)

3.3 Strong motion prediction Takashi Iidaka (ERI)

3.4 Shallow structure            Tetsuo Tobita (DPRI)

3.5 Structure damage estimation        Hiroshi Kawase (DPRI)

3.6 Risk evaluation Kazuyoshi Nishijima (DPRI)

3.7 Platform development     Shinichi Matsushima (DPRI)

3.8 Stakeholder involvement              Norio Maki (DPRI)

3.9 Uncertainty of risk evaluation      Seung Han Lee (DPRI)

 

11:50

Lunch break

 

13:00

4 Invited presentations (40 min. each)

4.1 John Douglas (University of Strathclyde, Glasgow)

“Estimation of Strong Ground Motion: Aleatory Variability and Epistemic Uncertainty”

4.2 Christine Goulet (University of Southern California/Southern California Earthquake Center)

“Reduction of epistemic uncertainty in ground-motion hazard assessment: empirical and simulation-based approaches”

 

14:20

Coffee break

 

14:30

4.3 Katsuichiro Goda (University of Bristol)

“Multi-Hazard Earthquake-Tsunami Risk Assessment for Mega-thrust Subduction Earthquakes”

4.4 Thomas Le Guenan (BRGM)

“Strategies and tools for decision making under uncertainty”

15:50

Coffee break

 

16:00

5 Reduction of uncertainty (1 hour in total)

5.1 Source model

5.2 Propagation path and deep structure

5.3 Strong motion prediction

5.4 Shallow structure

5.5 Structure damage estimation

5.6 Risk evaluation

17:00

6 Discussions (55 min.)

 

17:55

7 Closing remarks (5 min.)

 

18:00

End