Symposium of the “Cooperative Research by Liaison between Hub Institutes”, 2016 “Construction of a New Paradigm for Improving Uncertainty of Risk Evaluation for Large Magnitude Earthquakes”

  • Date : 25 Mar. 2016 9:30 - 18:00
  • Symposium
Date 25 Mar. 2016 9:30 - 18:00
Place Kihada Hall, Uji Obaku plaza, Kyoto University Uji Campus

Symposium of the “Cooperative Research by Liaison between Hub Institutes”, 2016

“Construction of a New Paradigm for Improving Uncertainty of Risk Evaluation for Large Magnitude Earthquakes”

 

【Program】

Date & Time: Friday, March 25th, 2016 9:30-18:00

Venue: Kihada Hall, Kyoto University Uji Campus

 

9:30

  • Opening address (5 min.)
  • Background and Purpose of the project “Cooperative Research by Liaison between Hub institutes” (15 min.)

9:50

  • Progress report (2 hours in total)
    • Source model Masatoshi Miyazawa (DPRI)
    • Propagation path and deep structure Kimihiro Mochizuki (ERI)
    • Strong motion prediction Takashi Iidaka (ERI)
    • Shallow structure Tetsuo Tobita (DPRI)
    • Structure damage estimation Hiroshi Kawase (DPRI)
    • Risk evaluation Kazuyoshi Nishijima (DPRI)
    • Platform development Shinichi Matsushima (DPRI)
    • Stakeholder involvement Norio Maki (DPRI)
    • Uncertainty of risk evaluation Seung Han Lee (DPRI)

11:50

Lunch break

13:00

  • Invited presentations (40 min. each)
    • John Douglas (University of Strathclyde, Glasgow)

“Estimation of Strong Ground Motion: Aleatory Variability and Epistemic Uncertainty”

  • Christine Goulet (University of Southern California/Southern California Earthquake Center)

“Reduction of epistemic uncertainty in ground-motion hazard assessment: empirical and simulation-based approaches”

14:20

Coffee break

14:30

  • Thomas Le Guenan (BRGM)

“Strategies and tools for decision making (provisional)”

  • Katsuichiro Goda (University of Bristol)

“Multi-Hazard Earthquake-Tsunami Risk Assessment for Mega-thrust Subduction Earthquakes”

15:50

Coffee break

16:00

  • Reduction of uncertainty (1 hour in total)
    • Source model
    • Propagation path and deep structure
    • Strong motion prediction
    • Shallow structure
    • Structure damage estimation
    • Risk evaluation

17:00

  • Discussions (55 min.)

17:55

  • Closing remarks (5 min.)

18:00

End